Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 14.533149 16.574535 18.759871 21.268717 24.064585 27.079680 30.572268
2024-10-20 11.097656 13.745460 16.781511 20.502824 24.922464 29.984276 36.199641
2024-10-27 8.560175 11.461374 15.008163 19.624140 25.429260 32.440827 41.497750
2024-11-03 7.356239 10.570773 14.733417 20.445448 27.995048 37.537649 50.402061
2024-11-10 6.748426 10.336514 15.228279 22.261338 31.966915 44.721816 62.550354
2024-11-17 5.991062 9.764632 15.171040 23.296647 34.973574 50.883688 73.873730
2024-11-24 5.093258 8.836044 14.469940 23.314665 36.534482 55.181880 82.991149
2024-12-01 4.221330 7.797634 13.452397 22.718386 37.106432 58.088309 90.332705
2024-12-08 3.616808 7.087454 12.832799 22.625995 38.370062 62.028163 99.373667
2024-12-15 3.193006 6.612057 12.517726 22.954439 40.269378 66.997770 110.210201
2024-12-22 2.753693 6.032499 11.944545 22.776686 41.316092 70.700513 119.325883
2024-12-29 2.585391 5.935825 12.195453 24.008413 44.743600 78.314200 134.910629
2025-01-05 2.275283 5.519472 11.836434 24.170627 46.454534 83.412725 147.041611
2025-01-12 1.903557 4.906967 11.025540 23.420658 46.517550 85.817773 154.994185
2025-01-19 1.574726 4.321639 10.181894 22.503204 46.182324 87.508328 161.853133
2025-01-26 1.466584 4.222581 10.311727 23.476783 49.365770 95.403958 179.563361
2025-02-02 1.459085 4.365269 10.967312 25.558846 54.774039 107.491384 205.064682
2025-02-09 1.377633 4.307757 11.179340 26.750857 58.567776 116.928784 226.458185
2025-02-16 1.222549 4.027834 10.856777 26.788016 60.112355 122.399868 241.168366
2025-02-23 1.044279 3.645471 10.242316 26.126146 60.202415 125.193234 251.231171
2025-03-02 0.922273 3.395106 9.904273 26.029299 61.413564 130.118375 265.365617
2025-03-09 0.839472 3.242740 9.784149 26.405417 63.615692 137.014320 283.407573
2025-03-16 0.739477 3.013264 9.434422 26.208055 64.582383 141.574461 297.309943